Brazil v Colombia

The Seleção were back to their attacking best on Sunday night. The combination play of Kaka, Robinho, Adriano (suspended) and Elano posed too many questions for Venezuala, and i expect the same will be true for Colombia. Despite drawing 4 matches so far, Brazil have scored 15 and conceded only 4, meaning when they win they win convincingly (5-0, 3-0, 3-0 in  3 of the 4 games). While Colombia have scored just 4 times while conceding 8, though that stat is slightly off kilter due to them losing v Chile 4-0.  A year to the date, Colombia held Brazil to a 0-0 at home, since then they have change coach and are short on confidence, while the boys from Brazil look like they are improving.

 Paraguay v Peru

On a high and top of the group the home side will be looking to cement there 1st place, knowing Argentina and Brazil are coming back to form. Peru are bottom and can’t buy a win away from home (tempting fate, i know). They are unbeaten at home with 1 win and 4 draws, but away they have lost all four by more than 2 goals (0-2, 1-5, 0-6, 0-3). Paraguay meanwhile have won 4 from 4 at home, 3 of them by a 2 goal margin (2-1, 5-1, 2-0, 2-0).

Main Bet: Handicap Double, Brazil -1.5 + Paraguay -1.5 = Roughly 5-2 with most firms

Side Bet: Brazil to win 2-0 (6-1) and Paraguay to win 2-0 (6-1) Back 2 singles and a double (49-1)

Value Bet: Pato 5-1 First goalscorer Each Way (1-2-3) - Adriano is suspended (though most bookies have him as favourite!) and Pato is most likely to get the nod ahead of Jo.

 England V Belerus

Two out of the three qualifiers have seen England drawing at half time and win at full time, but for a fortunate ricochet in Croatia it probably would be three out of three. I believe there’s still value in it at 7-2 with a number of firms.

Draw HT - Eng FT = 7-2 with Coral, Ladbrokes, Skybet, VC and Totesport

England to win 1-0 (11-2), 2-0 (11-2) with Ladbrokes